Prediction of Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Fangzhou Liu at W35 Kunshan 10-10-25

• Who has the better recent form on their second serve? Fangzhou Liu edges out Daria Khomutsianskaya with 39.89% compared to 34.73%, indicating slightly stronger second serve performance.
• In return games, Daria Khomutsianskaya outperforms Fangzhou Liu with 55.50% success rate on opponent's second serves, compared to Fangzhou's 47.10%. This suggests Daria is more effective at breaking down second serves.
• When facing first serves, Daria leads again with a 35.90% return success compared to Fangzhou's 25.45%, highlighting Daria's stronger return game on first serves.
• Under pressure, Fangzhou is more efficient at saving breakpoints, achieving a rate of 54.66%, in contrast to Daria's 46.67%.
• Looking at overall success from the past year, Daria has a slightly higher match-winning percentage at 72.09%, while Fangzhou has a close record with 68.29%.
• Considering surface preferences, Daria excels on clay with a 79% win rate, while Fangzhou performs best on indoor hard surfaces, also at 79%.
• In terms of player levels faced, Daria has competed more often in lower-tier tournaments, whereas Fangzhou has consistently taken part in slightly higher-level events.
• Historically in head-to-head encounters, Fangzhou has dominated, winning their sole match convincingly in straight sets.
• Daria faces tougher competition with an average opponent ranking of 330.33, while Fangzhou's opposition averages a ranking of 460.24.
• In deciding sets, Fangzhou shows a winning tendency, securing 75% in contrast to Daria's 67%.

Editorial Prediction (October 9, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents an interesting clash of styles between Daria Khomutsianskaya and Fangzhou Liu. Daria's superior return game suggests she might create more opportunities to break serve, especially considering her success against first serves.

However, Fangzhou not only shows greater proficiency under breakpoint pressure but also outperformed Daria in their previous matchup, showcasing her effective play on hard surfaces.

Despite Daria's advantage in overall match-winning percentage and a tougher set of opponents, Fangzhou's historical success and strong defense under pressure make her a formidable contender.

Given these factors, Fangzhou Liu appears to be slightly favored to win this upcoming tennis match. The blend of her previous victory and breakpoint resilience could give her the edge.